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#361

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#362

Post by Lammetje »

The temperature dropped below -20 °C here. :o North Texas is also coping with wintry conditions.
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#363

Post by xianjiro »

yeah, and we're battened down for the third major winter storm in a month - you know all that rain they are forecasting for California? Well some of it will be coming north but our temps are still below freezing. We should get a inch or two of snow - no problem - but then the warm tropical air aloft (from Hawai'i) will drop precipitation onto that damn cold Arctic/Canadian airmass near the ground and we'll get freezing rain! It's the best. We've been warned to prepare for multi-day power outages. Fun - fun - fun!

now seems like a great time for Bondi meetup
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#364

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#365

Post by xianjiro »

what a mess out there! at least it's just above freezing where I live, but I hear it's really horrific on the eastside of town (close to the Gorge) - we didn't get much snow yesterday, I'd say less than a quarter of an inch where I'm at, and there's only a layer of ice covering everything, but it's very, very slick. Just rain is falling at this point, but it's puddling everywhere. So that's standing water on a layer of ice on a layer of snow. Thank god it's a Sunday though I'm guessing tomorrow will still be a mess out east. Buddy was supposed to fly to Chicago today. On Friday I told him to try and get out on Saturday. Not sure if he did, but it's unlikely he could even get to the airport this morning (eastside of town). Will be interesting to see how much is washed away by tomorrow - I'm betting it will still be a mess.
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#366

Post by Cippenham »

xianjiro on Jan 8 2017, 01:14:37 PM wrote:what a mess out there! at least it's just above freezing where I live, but I hear it's really horrific on the eastside of town (close to the Gorge) - we didn't get much snow yesterday, I'd say less than a quarter of an inch where I'm at, and there's only a layer of ice covering everything, but it's very, very slick. Just rain is falling at this point, but it's puddling everywhere. So that's standing water on a layer of ice on a layer of snow. Thank god it's a Sunday though I'm guessing tomorrow will still be a mess out east. Buddy was supposed to fly to Chicago today. On Friday I told him to try and get out on Saturday. Not sure if he did, but it's unlikely he could even get to the airport this morning (eastside of town). Will be interesting to see how much is washed away by tomorrow - I'm betting it will still be a mess.
That's too bad, mild here but may be changing to cold next weekend.
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#367

Post by xianjiro »

So, now it's Winter Storm #4 - in just over a month - and the body count is also 4 (due to exposure). I don't think they were near as ready for this one, the snow is wet and very heavy and we're well above the total predicted snowfall for the storm and the precipitation window will be open another 12 hours. Today will officially be cancelled in metro Portland and much of the rest of the state from what I'm hearing. Don't expect any of that nasty freezing rain though, so it would not be that bad BUT for all the branches currently bent under the weight of the snow. I guess some of the train lines closed because branches had bent into the overhead wires - feel sorry for anyone who has to go anywhere tomorrow! If I go silent, I've lost power or Internet or both...

What a winter!
Last edited by xianjiro on January 11th, 2017, 10:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#368

Post by xianjiro »

Here's today's screamer: Portland wakes up to one of 'snowiest' days on record; more on the way (live updates)

Honestly, can't remember the last time I've seen this much snow - decades and well into the mountains or my childhood in the Midwest. It's beautiful, but quite insane. And still snowing.
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#369

Post by xianjiro »

omg - did the National Weather service actually write "thundersnow"?

"This area saw 10
to 13 inches of snow, some of which was enhanced by the thundersnow
between 10 pm last night until 1 am today. "
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#370

Post by Cippenham »

xianjiro on Jan 11 2017, 12:19:27 PM wrote:Here's today's screamer: Portland wakes up to one of 'snowiest' days on record; more on the way (live updates)

Honestly, can't remember the last time I've seen this much snow - decades and well into the mountains or my childhood in the Midwest. It's beautiful, but quite insane. And still snowing.
http://business.financialpost.com/fp-co ... s-prepared

I see this theory, I used to believe it ,now I reserve judgement

Meantime take care stick up on essentials and be prepared,what if they are right, what if there has been warming but there is also to be a mini ice age nevertheless?
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#371

Post by sebby »

Yeah, I think Portlanders should be more worried about a superquake than an ice age.
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#372

Post by xianjiro »

Yeah, I agree with sebby. It would be a long slog to a store today if I needed anything. At least I tend to keep a full larder - but I'm always fearful of losing electricity since these places built in the 60s are all electric. But even then, living two blocks from a hospital should mean any outage will be short lived.

But what's really driving me nuts are all the neighbors have congregated outside my apartment to play today. I'm sick of the noise and god knows how long they'll be at it.
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#373

Post by Cippenham »

sebby on Jan 11 2017, 02:45:16 PM wrote:Yeah, I think Portlanders should be more worried about a superquake than an ice age.
It's more immediate as a threat certainly
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#374

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Last edited by xianjiro on January 12th, 2017, 2:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#375

Post by Hunziker »

Mexico City weather: Sunny, 27º C. Suck it, Europe.
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#376

Post by Samar »

Hunziker on Mar 1 2017, 11:01:24 AM wrote:Mexico City weather: Sunny, 27º C. Suck it, Europe.
Ha! Saudi Arabia is slightly below that, mostly clear 18° C.
and we actually had some rain during the past few weeks too.
Last edited by Samar on March 1st, 2017, 7:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#377

Post by Cippenham »

Many models are predicting severe weather including ice and snow for Western Europe including south of England for end of February which will come as quite a shock to some people I will update you later when that fun starts
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#378

Post by Cippenham »

Goodness me it’s looking even more likely after next weekend snow. 7 cm per hour and minus 18 wow south east England and in France minus 20. Do take care and be prepared for the beast! Still a chance it won’t happen though :lol:
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#379

Post by flaiky »

-18?? Are you kidding? No, no way, I cannot handle that.

This winter has already felt like it's lasted forever, it started getting really cold in November. Much worse than the last couple of years.

Edit: Accuweather isn't forecasting anything worse than lows of -1 (highs of 6ish) in London.
Last edited by flaiky on February 18th, 2018, 8:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#380

Post by Cippenham »

flaiky on Feb 18 2018, 01:31:25 PM wrote:-18?? Are you kidding? No, no way, I cannot handle that.

This winter has already felt like it's lasted forever, it started getting really cold in November. Much worse than the last couple of years.

Edit: Accuweather isn't forecasting anything worse than lows of -1 (highs of 6ish) in London.
That’s at high level not surface level sorry about that but still looks like some snow and cold but it may not happen or may move could be minus 3 or more surface with snow if it happens. I am looking at medium term models don’t check standard forecast until Thursday see what they say then
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#381

Post by Cippenham »

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/warnings#weather-warnings

So looks like eastern areas including London could get some snow and extreme cold next week

We wait in the south and west to see if we get anything more than cold and frost later
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#382

Post by Cippenham »

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/wea ... atherAlert

Don’t you people in hot countries want to be in the Uk or Western Europe next week? :lol:
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#383

Post by Cippenham »

Is everyone in Europe enjoying the weather ? we have cold and snow in the UK bad in places but where I live not much yet may get snow tomorrow
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#384

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:satstunned:
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#385

Post by Lilarcor »

-17 degrees last night, but not that uncommon in winter here (usually have a few days of that per year). Trondheim, Norway.
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#386

Post by nimimerkillinen »

couple of days ago it was -25c here in south finland
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#387

Post by Armoreska »

The weather in Europe is frightful. 45C for Portugal.
It's been one of the gentlest summers for me in a while however.
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#388

Post by flaiky »

Quite mad looking at my comments about how long and cold the winter was, and now this has been one of the longest and hottest summers I've lived through. In April we still had some snow, and then it's been warm and sunny almost non-stop since the start of May. It's basically been a two-season year...in England :blink:
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#389

Post by RBG »

102 F here 28% humidity so like...39 C? 45 C in portugal? that's horrifying. i think our all time record is like 49 C and at those temps people start shooting at each other on the freeway. i know in 50 years or so this place will be uninhabitable and it makes me sad. but i'll be dead then. probably
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#390

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Looks like the Atlantic will wake up... in september... with possible tropical cyclone formation near Bahama's / Florida moving into the Gulf of Mexico... and 80% likely tropical cyclone development near Cabo Verde probably moving into Mid-Atlantic and steering towards EU / the jet. Behind that cyclone, a series of tropical waves might enter the Atlantic and new tropical cyclones might form there.

Meanwhile the Pacific is on fire...

In Belgium, summer 2018 was extra-ordinary after a very late and long winter... with snow in march / april, and non-stop summer warmth / drought since than... August has been more normal in terms of precipation though, but the drought here was the worst since 1976. It looks like it will get warm & dry again in september though, so the drought might even intensify here. The potential for a new severe & very cold winter though is high mostly because of low solar activity, which might also have something to do with the continental weather, dry summer and the two-year seasons. The parameters for a very severe winter in UK / Belgium and Western-Europe are good... This winter could become in potential the coldest in 20 and possibly 30 years.

Summer 2018 is set to become one of the four driest summers on record, to become the fourth sunniest on record and by far the warmest of all time in the Netherlands.

The period april - august has meanwhile SHATTERED the old warmth record, the fourth sunniest and is one of the 6 driest april - august periods of all times... (most of the rain coming from showers end may and during august).

April was the 4th warmest april on record... May was the warmest may on record... June was the driest june on record (and one of the 10 warmest junes). July was the sunniest and driest july on record, and also the third warmest on record. August 2018 is still predicted to become one of the 10 warmest augusts on record (which surprised me but maybe i expect too much now, after what we've got before). And september looks like it will start very warm and dry...

July was also the sunniest month ever recorded in Netherlands and Belgium.
The drought in Sweden was the worst in almost 70 years... and the spring-summer (april-july) period has been extra-ordinary with even very high temperatures in Northern Finland.
In some regions of the Netherlands, they've measured the longest heatwave on record.
Some regions in Belgium and the Netherlands had their warmest day ever recorded (like in the west, here), with temperatures up to 38°C/100°F
We never had so many days with >20°C and >25°C on a year on record before.
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#391

Post by Armoreska »

This must be the longest post in this lounge by far
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#392

Post by Lakigigar »

Armoreska wrote: August 29th, 2018, 6:21 pm This must be the longest post in this lounge by far
Ah okay lol... Well this is just an average post in length from me, or i mean, i'm used to making much longer posts... The weather and the climate is one of my hobbies, so i know a lot from it, actually even much more than about movies.
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#393

Post by maxwelldeux »

I'm much more attuned to weather in the Pacific - I live near the coast, and my in-laws live on Big Island Hawaii. So that earthquake/volcano/hurricane stuff they're dealing with is all just more important to me than it used to be...
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#394

Post by mightysparks »

It's winter here, and it's been pretty wet lately - https://thewest.com.au/news/weather/per ... b88944583z. Also cold. I'm always in fluffy pants, fluffy socks and a fluffy dressing gown at home or I die. I wish we had heating. Probably doesn't seem cold to the Europeans though; min/max is usually between 7-20°C.
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#395

Post by RBG »

US open being played in NYC in temps approaching 100F and humidity level upwards of 50% forced 5 players to withdraw from their matches yesterday. even fans were affected. for the first time the tournament instituted heat breaks for extreme weather. some players felt midday matches should have been cancelled entirely

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#396

Post by Lakigigar »

Well hurricanes and typhoons might dominate the news in the upcoming weeks...

This is Florence... It looks like it will track to the Azores and possibly Europe, because it's being blocked by a "rare" much northerly than average high pressure ridge that might steer it to the east.

Image

Jebi is a monster... a majoor typhoon with wind speeds up to 185 mph, and probably extremely low air pressure (probably to Wilma levels, as i've heard). It's heading to Japan.

Image

Image

Norman is going crazy, but looks like it's going to miss Hawaii... but it will become a cat 5 hurricane probably by tomorrow... The East Pacific Hurricane Season is the most active until today (and we're halfway)... August 2018 had the most ACE (accumulated cyclone energy) recorded in a month in the Eastern Pacific Season (because of Hector, Lane and now Norman, and all those other storms)... Remember, we're already at the N and th O is on the way as well with 80% chance of developing in next five days... There is no indication that activity will stop here in september.

Image

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The Gulf threat is also on the charts... The Gulf has extremely warm water and favourable conditions for tropical cyclone development, but we need to track this one further / nowcast it to have a better look on it, but it might potentially become a violent, dangerous system.

Image

_________

Activity is increasing, many new tropical waves are ready to help develop new tropical systems... Where the first part of the season was really bad in terms of possible development and activity, everything changed in the last two weeks... Temperatures and shear levels are back to normal, and are now more favourable for development of systems, and the MJO is in a more violent phase for the Atlantic Season. Air pressure anomalies also indicate a more active second part of the hurricane season... The pattern looks like it's going to change.
tropische cyclonen. Het lijkt dat het patroon van de eerste helft op de schop gaat.

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And number 7 and 8 are ready to be formed (or 8 and 9 if the Gulf System will get named at some point).

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sea surface temperatures back to average and even above average, where it used to be much cooler than normal or even record cold since the end '80's and later early '90's. Especially region around Cabo Verde Islands has warmed sufficiently.

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shear levels back to normal, where it used to be higher than normal during the season.
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#397

Post by mightysparks »

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/201 ... d=pl-share

Found this. Apparently we had 24 days a year at 32 degrees C, now we have 26 and when I’m 80 we’ll have 37.
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#398

Post by Lakigigar »

Indication for much colder weather in the northern hemisphere for january 2019 (maybe starting in the 2nd week).
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#399

Post by Cippenham »

Yes winter is coming eventually
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#400

Post by Lakigigar »

Cippenham wrote: December 21st, 2018, 8:56 pm Yes winter is coming eventually
Obviously, yes.

But it's because of changes in the stratosphere mostly.
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